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<title>EquityFC Blog</title>
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<dc:creator>EquityFC</dc:creator>
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<pubDate>Tue, 27 Jul 2010 14:35:00 +0000</pubDate>
<title>Why good financial management matters to PE</title>
<description><![CDATA[<p><a target="_blank" href="http://www.ft.com/cms/s/0/0087688e-983f-11df-b218-00144feab49a,dwp_uuid=cf8c5ee0-aa15-11da-96ea-0000779e2340.html">Great article in the FT this Sunday</a> by Tony Jackson on some analysis of private equity returns. This is the good bit: "One study he cites unpicked the returns on 110 completed deals in the UK and Europe between 1995 and 2005. The average internal rate of return was 39 per cent, of which debt accounted for 22 per cent and a rising stock market 9 per cent. That left just 8 per cent as the contribution of the private equity managers."</p><p><span class="Apple-style-span"><span class="Apple-style-span"><p>It goes on: "Considering that Mr Morris puts the average annual fees in private equity at 8 per cent &ndash; some put it higher &ndash; this is thought-provoking. It means, in effect, that the pension funds which provide the bulk of the money would have been as well off investing in the market directly and borrowing the leverage from the bank."</p><p>At a time when fundraisings are under pressure and the PE model is in danger of over-regulation, firms are going to be looking hard at deals where there is a strong "management" component and where growth contributes a higher level of the overall return. (Of course, this kind of analysis usually focuses in on the big LBOs - in the mid-market, leverage has never played such a major role...)</p><p>Growth and development means having financial management <em>in situ </em>that goes beyond box-ticking, solid reporting and cost control. Great news if you&#39;re a forward thinking, value-adding FC or FD, then.</p></span></span></p>]]></description>
<link>http://www.equityfc.com/blog.asp?page_id=&amp;blog_id=1&amp;entry_id=150</link>
<dc:creator>EquityFC</dc:creator>
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<pubDate>Fri, 23 Jul 2010 13:35:00 +0000</pubDate>
<title>Some weekend reading</title>
<description><![CDATA[<p>Every week, I gather lots of interesting snippets about financial management, private equity and entrepreneurialism from around the web. So what&#39;s news this week?
</p><p>Let&#39;s start with the <a target="_blank" href="http://www.newenergyworldnetwork.com/renewable-energy-news/by_technology/energy_efficiency/private-equity-and-venture-capitalists-to-be-emissions-traders-under-uks-crc-scheme.html">Carbon Reduction Commitment</a>. I recently did an article on the FDs of PE firms, and this is a biggie for them. As far as the Environment Agency is concerned, PE funds are conglomerates, so every "subsidiary" (i.e. portfolio business) stands to get caught by the new rules on September 30th. Worth boning up on carbon credits if you&#39;re going for a job... especially since <a target="_blank" href="http://www.documentmanagementnews.com/the-news/green-news/646-survey-says-cfos-should-be-accountable-for-carbon-reduction-commitment-.html?PID=dmnw-july">CO2 is now the CFO&#39;s responsibility, apparently</a>.</p><p>Then I&#39;m recommending the Wall Street Journal PE blog. For example, <a target="_blank" href="http://blogs.wsj.com/privateequity/2010/07/17/pe-on-pbs-newshour-its-like-predator-drones-are-coming-in/">this entry has a link to a PBS report on the PE takeover (and subsequent bankruptcy) of Readers&#39; Digest</a>. If you&#39;re getting involved with PE for the first time - don&#39;t panic. It&#39;s an extreme example. But the WSJ (and other) PE blogs are good at explaining sentiment for the industry.</p><p>Third up, more video - this time <a target="_blank" href="http://www.marketobservation.com/blogs/index.php/2010/07/17/uk-private-equity-firms-will-invest-billions-in-the-next-12-months-according-to-a-survey-from-grant-thornton-cnbc?blog=7">coverage of a recent Grant Thornton survey that has positive news for the UK</a> where the firm predicts "billions" will be invested over the next 12 months. Deal churn is good - especially for FCs and FDs looking to get into a new position.<a target="_blank" href="http://privateequityblogger.com/2010/06/uk-buyouts.html?utm_source=feedburner&amp;utm_medium=feed&amp;utm_campaign=Feed:+PrivateEquityInvestment+%28Private+Equity%29"> And the year is looking better for MBOs in the UK</a>, too. So keep &#39;em peeled...</p><p>Looking for something a bit more technical? How about <a target="_blank" href="http://www.acrobatplanet.com/non-fictions-ebook/ebook-why-are-buyouts-leveraged-financial-structure-private-equity-funds.html">a scholarly paper on why buy-outs are leveraged</a>? This PDF <a target="_blank" href="http://www.acrobatplanet.com/go/Why_are_Buyouts_Leveraged.pdf">download</a> posits a model for the capital structure in MBOs and might be worth a read if you plan on getting down and dirty on the technicalities with your bakers.</p><p>Finally, <em><strong>stat of the week</strong></em>, <a target="_blank" href="http://www.reuters.com/article/idUSTRE65O0HQ20100625">courtesy of Reuters</a>: "<span class="Apple-style-span"><span class="Apple-style-span">Private equity-backed M&amp;A in the second quarter was up 125% from a year earlier to $40bn, and up by a third from the first quarter. For 2010 [H1], it totaled $70bn, more than double a year earlier." <em><strong>BUT...</strong></em> "</span></span><span class="Apple-style-span"><span class="Apple-style-span">The $70bn of PE-backed deals this year through June 22 compares with the record <strong>$542bn</strong> in the first half of 2007."</span></span></p>]]></description>
<link>http://www.equityfc.com/blog.asp?page_id=&amp;blog_id=1&amp;entry_id=149</link>
<dc:creator>EquityFC</dc:creator>
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<pubDate>Wed, 21 Jul 2010 09:23:00 +0000</pubDate>
<title>The equity gap: don&#39;t call it a comeback</title>
<description><![CDATA[<p>Remember <strong>the equity gap</strong>? In more buoyant times, it was the chief malaise for companies seeking PE backing. Too small to get a nice big slug of debt and equity from the serious PE players, too big to be viable on the backing of early-stage funders and angels. What to do?</p><p><a target="_blank" href="http://www.mondaq.com/article.asp?articleid=104032">Well, it&#39;s  back.</a> I was chatting to a lawyer specialising in VC deals this week, and he says it&#39;s worse than ever. The problem is that less debt is ratcheting up the risk for equity providers - and a sluggish economy means that they know they need a watertight business case if they&#39;re to get the confidence they need to take the plunge and buy a company still in development. It&#39;s a contributory factor to the <strong>Dearth of Deals™</strong> - and to the slow recovery.</p><p>One way to address the central problem - perceived risk for equity providers - is to show the business is clearly out of start-up phase and has the chops to move forward decisively. And that means hiring a decent finance exec.</p><p>For many business suffering from the equity gap, that might not be a fully-fledged, six-figure FD. But at the least, they need a decent controller to nail the cash-flow and related processes and put in place working budgeting and forecasting systems. And they need FD-like advice - from a part-time or interim FD, or perhaps a finance-minded non-exec.</p><p>Claiming you can&#39;t afford "back office" talent in a growth phase is false economy - and that applies whether you&#39;re an entrepreneur or an early-stage investor wondering whether you&#39;ll ever exit...</p>]]></description>
<link>http://www.equityfc.com/blog.asp?page_id=&amp;blog_id=1&amp;entry_id=148</link>
<dc:creator>EquityFC</dc:creator>
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<pubDate>Wed, 14 Jul 2010 09:58:00 +0000</pubDate>
<title>Piles of cash seek finance brains</title>
<description><![CDATA[<p>Every finance director knows the value of <strong>cash</strong>. But there something odd going on the business world right now. There&#39;s lots of it about - and no-one knows what to do with it. So what does that mean for PE-backed finance executives?</p><p>My data is largely from the US. OK, most of you are looking at UK opportunities - but I think the lessons still hold. For example, <a target="_blank" href="http://www.businessinsider.com/chart-of-the-day-nonfarm-nonfinancial-corporate-business-2010-7">this chart</a> shows the amount of liquid assets held by US corporates (and I know from anecdotal evidence that the picture is similar over here):</p><p><img src="site_content_files/images/chart%20of%20theday,%20low%20of%20funds,%20corp%20business,%20july%202010.gif" alt="A lot of cash - and no obvious home" /></p><p>That&#39;s a lot of cash without a home. The picture gets worse: private equity funds around the world have been wrestling with "overhang" (funds committed by investors or "LPs", limited partners) for some time. The best recent estimate of PE&#39;s undeployed cash? <a target="_blank" href="http://www.pwc.com/us/en/press-releases/2010/While-large-cap-transactions-remain.jhtml">Check out this PwC article on the subject</a>. It says: "The current private equity overhang at nearly <strong>$850 billion</strong> (three and a half times the overhang in 2000) represents 54% of all capital commitments made between 2004 and 2009.  Over 85% of the $850 billion is in funds larger than $1 billion, including 48% in funds larger than $5 billion, according to Cambridge Associates."</p><p>Result? LPs are reluctant to commit new cash, and while the big LBO players aren&#39;t that fussed - that unspent pile of cash is the bigger concern - the mid-market and VC end of the scene is taking a hit. <a target="_blank" href="http://privateequityblogger.com/2010/07/venture-capital-data.html?utm_source=feedburner&amp;utm_medium=feed&amp;utm_campaign=Feed:+PrivateEquityInvestment+%28Private+Equity%29">Witness the recent drop in US VC fund allocations</a>.</p><p>So what does this all mean for you? First, brush up your <strong>capital allocation skills</strong>. Investors (and corporates - although the fact you&#39;re here suggests you&#39;d rather not work for a plc!) need to deploy money. But they&#39;re petrified that they won&#39;t make a return on it. That&#39;s a pretty damning indictment of the economy when interest rates are so low. And I think it means there aren&#39;t enough creative finance execs with good communication skills out there, standing up the business case for investments. Great entrepreneurs and marketing people are one thing; but without a proper investment appraisal, properly communicated, that cash is going to remain dormant.</p><p>Second, <strong>pick your markets</strong>. PE firms - particular in the mid-market and at the VC level, but across the board now that financial engineering is a dead duck - need growth right now to turn a penny. And with the economy flirting with a double dip, that means plumping for companies that have a compelling case whatever the climate. In short, some sectors are more resilient than others. Choose wisely.</p><p>(By the way, <a target="_blank" href="http://www.iimagazine.com/article.aspx?articleID=2462413">here&#39;s a link to a rather goo, rather long article on PE at the moment</a> - worth a read if you have a few minutes spare.)</p>]]></description>
<link>http://www.equityfc.com/blog.asp?page_id=&amp;blog_id=1&amp;entry_id=147</link>
<dc:creator>EquityFC</dc:creator>
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<pubDate>Mon, 12 Jul 2010 11:56:00 +0000</pubDate>
<title>PE watch: will summer sizzle or burn out?</title>
<description><![CDATA[<p>Finance execs looking for PE-backed opportunities need to keep a weather eye on the private equity world. But after two years of mixed messages, are we any clearer about whether the industry is <strong>recovering</strong>? And what might that mean for opportunities? </p><p>Well, the bad news is that messages from both sides of the Atlantic - and in both the large buy-out houses and the (more interesting) mid-tier firms - continue to confuse. So on the one hand, we have some <a target="_blank" href="http://blogs.wsj.com/privateequity/2010/07/09/the-morning-leverage-super-size-my-secondary-deal/">mega-deals in the secondary buy-out market in the US</a>; on the other, <a target="_blank" href="http://blogs.wsj.com/privateequity/2010/07/08/buyout-fund-raising-is-down-blame-the-mega-funds/">fundraising continues to fall there, especially for the mega-funds</a>. (That might have something to do with the fact that investors around the world are <a target="_blank" href="http://www.fortune500global.com/news/investors-wary-of-private-equity-managers/">starting to ask tough questions about PE returns</a>...)</p><p>What about this side of the pond - and what about those mid-tier players whose deal-flow creates openings for smart finance execs? The news is, again, mixed. At the bottom end - where many of you might reasonably spy exciting start-up and development opportunities working with creative entrepreneurs - <a target="_blank" href="http://blogs.bnet.co.uk/sterling-performance/2010/07/08/will-uk-venture-capital-slump-give-angels-their-wings/?utm_source=feedburner&amp;utm_medium=feed&amp;utm_campaign=Feed:+bnet/sterling-performance+%28BNET+Sterling+Performance%29">VC funding is approaching record lows</a>. A NESTA report says fewer funds are raising less capital for smaller early-stage investments. The one glimmer of hope for FDs and FCs is that VCs are taking a longer view of investments - giving you more time to get it right.</p><p>The good news? I&#39;m still hearing lots of PE players talking about a flight to quality. Sure, they&#39;re nervous about overpaying for businesses - especially when competitive auctions result in very rapid and sometimes hasty due diligence. But if the business looks good and shows opportunities for strong organic growth (i.e. generating more cash without needing a ton of debt to do aquisitions), they want to buy. </p><p>That&#39;s doubly good for you because it means PE firms looking to sell - and boy, do some of these funds need to churn investments - need both great financial management in place and the kind of broad finance functions skills that will help them dress a business for sale. Time, perhaps, to brush off those financial reporting and investor relations skills.</p>]]></description>
<link>http://www.equityfc.com/blog.asp?page_id=&amp;blog_id=1&amp;entry_id=146</link>
<dc:creator>EquityFC</dc:creator>
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<pubDate>Mon, 07 Jun 2010 14:02:00 +0000</pubDate>
<title>Global PE: mixed blessings, but hope for new deals</title>
<description><![CDATA[<p>The global <strong>private equity</strong> (PE) industry seems to be coming out of hibernation, according to a number of recent reports. That&#39;s not to say if you&#39;re looking for a PE-backing position you shouldn&#39;t remain realistic - about terms, business plans and finances. But there is definitely good news around<span class="Apple-style-span"><span class="Apple-style-span"> if you know where to look.</span></span></p><p><span class="Apple-style-span"><span class="Apple-style-span">T</span></span>ake <a target="_blank" href="http://blogs.wsj.com/privateequity/2010/06/03/lps-are-back-but-some-are-looking-for-fund-right-sizing/">this article on fund raising</a>. LPs (limited partners are the people who commit money to PE funds) are back on the trail for investment opportunities in PE - and although they still have "<span class="Apple-style-span"><span class="Apple-style-span">concerns about capital overhang [that] may keep the flow of new money to modest levels," there&#39;s clearly a view that there are returns to be made in new deals. The pressure is on GPs (general partners, who manage the investments) to prove they&#39;ve got a use for the cash.<br /></span></span></p><p><span class="Apple-style-span"><span class="Apple-style-span">Meanwhile, emerging markets PE is doing really well. In India, for example, <a href="http://indolinkenglish.wordpress.com/2010/05/31/rising-consumer-demand-sees-more-private-equity-deals-ey/">Ernst &amp; Young is reporting conditions set fair for a boom in deals</a>. And <a target="_blank" href="http://www.bi-me.com/main.php?id=46426&amp;t=1&amp;c=17&amp;cg=4&amp;mset=1031">Iraq</a> is also an unlikely source of joy for PE investors. (<a target="_blank" href="http://dealbook.blogs.nytimes.com/2010/05/24/rocky-times-for-spanish-private-equity-deals/">Compare and contrast Spain</a>, where the picture is less rosy.)<br /></span></span></p><p><span class="Apple-style-span"><span class="Apple-style-span">It&#39;s worth adding that as well as tickles for new deals and new funds, the industry is re-shaping in other ways. We blogged last week about Barclays selling its PE arm - now <a target="_blank" href="http://www.telegraph.co.uk/finance/newsbysector/epic/hsba/7804795/HSBC-to-sell-off-its-private-equity-arms.html">HSBC is flogging its own PE divisions</a> (and, like Barclays, it&#39;s letting management have the businesses for next to no money... read into that what you will). And, if you&#39;re looking for a much more obviously troubled example, <a target="_blank" href="http://perspicacious.co.uk/banking/dubai%E2%80%99s-debt-laden-private-equity-group-faces-closure/26575/">Dubai International Capital looks like it might fold</a>.</span></span></p><p>All change then - keep your eyes peeled and make sure you know what your backers are going through before you commit.</p>]]></description>
<link>http://www.equityfc.com/blog.asp?page_id=&amp;blog_id=1&amp;entry_id=145</link>
<dc:creator>EquityFC</dc:creator>
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<pubDate>Fri, 04 Jun 2010 12:14:00 +0000</pubDate>
<title>Social media - first steps</title>
<description><![CDATA[<p>Do you tweet? Are you on <a target="_blank" href="http://uk.linkedin.com/in/businesswriter">LinkedIn</a>? How about blogs - which ones do you read (apart from this one)? I ask partly because an interim FD I know has recently started using twitter - you can find him at <a target="_blank" href="http://twitter.com/PHooperKeeley">twitter.com/PHooperKeeley</a>. </p><p>This got me thinking about how finance execs can use social media, partly to stay in touch with their industries and their colleagues - and partly to project themselves into the "interwebs". For an interim like Paul, that&#39;s probably more important than for FCs and FDs looking for, on working in, perm positions. But it&#39;s still an interesting way to be connected to a wider community.</p><p>The "staying in touch" part is important, too. It&#39;s well worth<a target="_blank" href="http://www.google.com/alerts"> setting up Google News Alerts</a> for topics that are relevant to your business - and to businesses you&#39;d like to be in. And why not set one up to feed through coverage of "private equity" or "MBO" to your inbox each day or weekly? It&#39;s a great way of staying informed so that when opportunities do arise, you&#39;ve got plenty of background knowledge to throw into the conversation.</p><p>I&#39;ll do a link list in a few days of sites that I find useful for staying on top of the PE scene. In the meantime, check out <a target="_blank" href="http://mashable.com/2010/05/17/vcs-social-media/">Mashable&#39;s advice for VCs on using social media</a>.</p>]]></description>
<link>http://www.equityfc.com/blog.asp?page_id=&amp;blog_id=1&amp;entry_id=144</link>
<dc:creator>EquityFC</dc:creator>
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<pubDate>Thu, 03 Jun 2010 12:02:00 +0000</pubDate>
<title>Physician - heal thyself!</title>
<description><![CDATA[<p>The private equity industry continues to focus on good portfolio management, the profitability of fund investee companies and growth. But it&#39;s interesting to note any shifts in the industry ahead of a potential upswing in deal activity. Which leads us to <a target="_blank" href="http://www.reuters.com/article/idUSTRE64N2GW20100524">a very interesting MBO announcement<span class="Apple-style-span"><span class="Apple-style-span">.</span></span></a></p><p><span class="Apple-style-span"><span class="Apple-style-span">It</span></span> seems Barclays Private Equity is buying itself out from its parent bank. Naturally, this is in part due to a new conservatism in banking (although Barclays was far from being the worst-hit in the financial crisis in 2008). But it also hints at a readiness to get daling again. Reuters reports sources claiming: "<span class="Apple-style-span"><span class="Apple-style-span">Barclays PE will target between 1.5 billion and 2 billion euros for its first independent fund." That&#39;s its first new money since a fund launched in 2007 and suggests there&#39;s going to be some acquisitions towards the end of the year.</span></span></p><p><span class="Apple-style-span"><span class="Apple-style-span">It also suggests the guys at Barclays PE will have a new-found understanding of the pressures of being an MBO team. We&#39;ll see (and if anyone does an MBO with them after their own buyout in the summer, let us know how it goes!).<br /></span></span></p>]]></description>
<link>http://www.equityfc.com/blog.asp?page_id=&amp;blog_id=1&amp;entry_id=143</link>
<dc:creator>EquityFC</dc:creator>
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<pubDate>Tue, 13 Apr 2010 11:41:00 +0000</pubDate>
<title>Management churn: an opportunity</title>
<description><![CDATA[<p>We&#39;ve been talking recently on the blog about banks incentivising PE firms - and PE firms incentivising management - to keep going despite bad results, iffy debt scheduling and missed targets. But after chatting to an <strong>interim FD</strong> mate yesterday, it looks like the downturn has had another effect on management teams: <em>bloody-mindedness</em>.</p><p>Ed specialises in turnarounds, so he&#39;s used to turning up, identifying problems and coming up with a "like it or lump it" fix. (He used to joke that his first job on an assignment is to find a desk in credit control - it&#39;s amazing how much better things can look once those guys have been hitting the phones all day for two weeks.) In better times, he tells me, you&#39;d often get a situation where the incumbent management would bristle at the proposed changes and walk out - usually to a job with another company "across the street".</p><p>For Ed, that was often a problem solved. Those were usually the guys who&#39;d caused the business to run onto the rocks and bringing in fresh blood can be crucial to fixing the strategy, the culture and the day-to-day running of the company.</p><p>Now? Not so much. Thanks to lack of management churn - and a shortage of growing businesses - management teams are clinging onto their posts for grim death. That means more fights in the boardroom, more diplomacy and psychology ("the first step to recovery is admitting you have a problem") - and more hassle.</p><p>The good news if you&#39;re looking for a PE-backed finance job? The banks are still calling the shots on many deals and they want a solid finance function to work with. And as Ed&#39;s busy schedule attests, interim FDs and smart financial controllers are much in demand to fix basically sound companies that have lost their grip on the financials. Just make sure you&#39;re ready to handle the fifth columnists in the board room...</p>]]></description>
<link>http://www.equityfc.com/blog.asp?page_id=&amp;blog_id=1&amp;entry_id=142</link>
<dc:creator>EquityFC</dc:creator>
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<pubDate>Thu, 08 Apr 2010 11:26:00 +0000</pubDate>
<title>PE firms pay it forward</title>
<description><![CDATA[<p>All the talk of PE-backed businesses facing a debt roll-over problem thanks to reduced liquidity in the leveraged loans market has been a little overblown. True, it&#39;s not just the $500bn owed on big LBOs that falls due between now and 2015 (that&#39;s just in Europe). <a target="_blank" href="http://www.reuters.com/article/idUSTRE6233VQ20100304">Reuters quotes</a><strong> Jon Moulton</strong> as saying <span id="articleText">£30bn pounds of debt in small and
medium-sized British companies needs to be repaid in the next three years. That&#39;s nothing to be sniffed at.</span></p><p><span id="articleText">But I watched an interesting snippet (podcast? <a href="http://mp3.sandp.infoble.com/3Y8CbWZzBWpEnG00XxQLRPw==/Standard_and_Poors_00122010_738.wmv">vodcast?) from Standard &amp; Poor&#39;s</a> earlier this year pointing out that although the banks are wary of making new big loans to PE-backed businesses - largely thanks to a more conservative approach to their own balance sheets, but also because of <em><strong>THE RISK!</strong></em> - other sources of finance are coming in. A variety of investment funds need yield, and higher-risk LBO loans can deliver.</span></p><p><span id="articleText"> Better yet, said the S&amp;P guy, many lenders are cutting PE-backed firms some slack in the interim. What choice to they have? Sure, in really bad cases they can grab the equity, but that rarely ends well. So all sorts of mezz-type finance and coupon roll-overs get layered in and everyone hopes for the best. (Good news for finance functions, politically at least. You can get a lot of status for carrying that much water...)</span></p><p><span id="articleText">PE firms are also paying that (rather forced) good-will forward bt being nice to entrepreneurs and their teams. I noticed this entry at a <a target="_blank" href="http://www.wallstreetoasis.com/blog/does-this-term-sheet-make-my-butt-look-big">Wall St blog on the subject of VC-backed management scoring their bonuses even if things have gone a bit "off plan"</a>:</span></p><p><span id="articleText"></span><span class="Apple-style-span"><em><span class="Apple-style-span">I thought it was pretty funny how VCs have to handle entrepreneurs with kid gloves these days, if for no other reason than if you won&#39;t another VC will. That probably speaks volumes to the fact that there are too many venture capitalists chasing too few deals these days. But I was more struck by the expectations of the entrepreneurs than I was by how the VC&#39;s deal with them today.</span></em></span></p><p><span class="Apple-style-span"><span class="Apple-style-span">Interesting. In short, if you&#39;re in a good team with a business that has obvious potential, perhaps the rewards (bonus, equity etc) will come even if you&#39;ve been troubled by the recession.<br /></span></span></p>]]></description>
<link>http://www.equityfc.com/blog.asp?page_id=&amp;blog_id=1&amp;entry_id=141</link>
<dc:creator>EquityFC</dc:creator>
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<pubDate>Thu, 25 Mar 2010 19:26:00 +0000</pubDate>
<title>All that money must mean... bubble!</title>
<description><![CDATA[<p>Earlier in the week, we highlighted the <strong>$500bn-odd</strong> burning a hole in private equity pockets. And based on antedotal evidence (the deal-doers we&#39;ve been speaking to), that money seems to be chasing only the high quality deals. M&amp;A is back in 2010 - but you&#39;ve got to be peddling the good stuff.</p><p>Well, there&#39;s more <a target="_blank" href="http://privateequityblogger.com/2010/03/m-activity-in-2010.html">evidence mounting up of a stampede for quality</a> - and it&#39;s starting to look like a bit of a bubble. (Full story <a target="_blank" href="http://online.wsj.com/article/BT-CO-20100320-700863.html?mod=WSJ_World_MIDDLEHeadlinesEurope">here</a>, but requires WSJ.com subscription.)<span class="Apple-style-span"><span class="Apple-style-span"> Dealogic says the value of buyout deals in Europe alone so far this year is EUR9bn, compared with just EUR3.7bn for the first three months of last year.</span></span><span class="Apple-style-span"><span class="Apple-style-span"> Jennifer Dunstan, partner at 3i is quoted as saying: "Prices have stabilized and debt is trickling back, but there is a very limited supply of high-quality assets and some funds are looking to make deals very aggressively."</span></span></p><p><span class="Apple-style-span"><span class="Apple-style-span">Bubbles are almost always bad news, of course, and it begs the question: should you get involved in a PE-backed business you think has been overpaid for? There&#39;s no easy answer. It depends on the company, the other members of the management team and the PE firm (as well as its general partners). You might argue that PE firms that have "aggressively" bid for assets are going to be a whole lot more... "attentive" and that might make the finance function&#39;s job a bit tougher.</span></span></p><p><span class="Apple-style-span"><span class="Apple-style-span">But if the team, the time and your talents are right - well, so long as your eyes are open and the incentives good, being a FD or FC in a backed business can be as rewarding as ever.<br /></span></span></p>]]></description>
<link>http://www.equityfc.com/blog.asp?page_id=&amp;blog_id=1&amp;entry_id=140</link>
<dc:creator>EquityFC</dc:creator>
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<pubDate>Mon, 15 Mar 2010 12:03:00 +0000</pubDate>
<title>$503bn seeks quality deals. No time-wasters.</title>
<description><![CDATA[<p>According to <em>BusinessWeek</em>, <a href="http://www.businessweek.com/news/2010-03-10/lbo-firms-can-t-spend-503-billion-as-deadlines-loom-update1-.html">there&#39;s $503bn (yep, billion) sitting around</a> in the "committed" column for the big leveraged buy-out houses. And time is running out. Many of them need to spend a fair bit of it before investors a) freak out at the management fees the money is earning the PE houses; and b) no longer have to commit it. It&#39;s a bit like seeing the same desperate lonely hearts ad over and over: "Wall of money seeks decent business for medium-term relationship. Me, overweight and no sense of humour. You, decent balance sheet. No time-wasters."</p><p>Part of the problem is that the list of targets that PE firms - of all sizes - are chasing has split decisively into two leagues. In the Premier Division are attractive assets with high-quality earnings and predictable revenue streams. Buyers can see growth opportunities and sell the deal to finance providers. (Despite that wall of money, the LBO model doesn&#39;t stand up without a fair chunk of debt, of course.) Everything else is Blue Square South - and the banks are still running scared of anything where the risk can&#39;t be tied down six ways from Tuesday.</p><p>There are two pointers here for FDs and FCs in, or chasing, equity-backed opportunities. First, if there&#39;s even  sniff of a deal, due diligence is now central to the process. 











Jonathan Heathcoate,
partner at Palamon Capital Partners, told me last week (for a piece coming up in <a href="http://www.realdeals.eu.com/"><em>Real Deals</em></a> next month), &ldquo;I think [at the moment] you might describe it as &lsquo;more
than comprehensive&rsquo; and maybe even a little bit anal." There&#39;s plenty of cynicism to go round, and according to a couple of dealmakers I spoke to, and no-one believes a hockey-stick revenue or profits forecast right now. The numbers are all important.</p><p>Second, chase the money. OK, it&#39;s true that even the mid-market companies are going to struggle to get a slice of that $503bn; the sub-£100m deals that make up the really interesting, rounded finance jobs that crop up have no chance. But where the numbers stand up and the opportunities are clear, there is money available from all sorts of PE players. Go for it.</p>]]></description>
<link>http://www.equityfc.com/blog.asp?page_id=&amp;blog_id=1&amp;entry_id=139</link>
<dc:creator>EquityFC</dc:creator>
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<pubDate>Mon, 21 Dec 2009 09:39:00 +0000</pubDate>
<title>Beyond finance</title>
<description><![CDATA[<p>Private equity firms need their portfolio finance teams to be sharp, accurate, open and disciplined. But finance execs (in any type of company) must never forget the source of the numbers they report. So <a target="_blank" href="http://www.tnr.com/article/economy/wagoner-henderson">this article in the <em>New Republic</em></a> about the dangers of a finance-skewed management style is well worth a read (potted version at the site that pointed me to it, <a target="_blank" href="http://www.boingboing.net/2009/12/20/america-cant-make-th.html?utm_source=twitterfeed&amp;utm_medium=twitter"><em>Boing Boing</em></a>).</p><p>In short, it says America has got rubbish at manufacturing because MBAs have come to dominate management teams - and finance (rather than production or logistics) has come to dominate MBA courses. As a cheerleader for finance functions, I don&#39;t see this a critcism of FDs or controllers. Instead, it&#39;s a rallying cry for rounded FDs and FCs, people who have a good grasp of operations <em>and</em> other disciplines. In my experience, they tend to be better at the finance bit and more suited to CEO and chairman roles (if that&#39;s what they want).</p><p>I&#39;m not alone. An old friend <strong>Jim Weight</strong> used to be CFO at Westminster Healthcare and HIT
Entertainment, so he has bags of PE portfolio experience. Now he&rsquo;s working with <strong>EPIC Private Equity</strong> looking for
turnaround situations, where a vice-like command of the finances is job one.
But he argued that the recession has forced FDs to look more broadly. </p><p>&ldquo;A real understanding of the commercial aspects of the
business is important too,&rdquo; he says, &ldquo;because without that you can&rsquo;t really
achieve a key attribute we look for in an investee FD: an ability to forecast. If you go to
the bank and say, &lsquo;I&rsquo;ve been doing lots of work and I think I&rsquo;m going to have a
cash problem in 18 months time&rsquo;, usually the reply is that you can have as much
money as you like. If you&rsquo;re that on top of your business, then you&rsquo;re exactly
the kind of person they want as a client.&rdquo;</p><p>Great point, Jim. Get your hands dirty out in the business and you&#39;ll be a better - and much more valuable - finance exec.</p>]]></description>
<link>http://www.equityfc.com/blog.asp?page_id=&amp;blog_id=1&amp;entry_id=138</link>
<dc:creator>EquityFC</dc:creator>
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<pubDate>Wed, 02 Dec 2009 11:09:00 +0000</pubDate>
<title>Social media for FDs</title>
<description><![CDATA[<p>How&#39;s your <a target="_blank" href="http://www.linkedin.com/in/businesswriter">LinkedIn profile</a>? Got one? Updated it recently? I ask because I was emailing an old FD contact yesterday and he mentioned he was tarting up his profile on the popular business network. (It&#39;s like <a target="_blank" href="http://www.facebook.com/RichardJGYoung">Facebook</a> for suits.) He&#39;s CFO of one of the biggest companies in Austria - and has a track record as long as your arm as FD at mid-tier public companies and subsidiaries of major brands. So I wondered <em>why</em> he was bothering.</p><p>Here&#39;s how he replied: "I had lunch in London with an old 
friend who had checked me out on Linkedin and mentioned that my profile 
suggested I had only had two jobs. Given that I did not 
even know I had a profile, I was quite impressed. But he, being a headhunter, said 
this was terminal for my non-exec aspirations as Linkedin apparently is &#39;all the 
go&#39; in the search community."</p><p>It&#39;s not uncommon for people to have a dormant profile. Perhaps this CFO accepted a LinkedIn invitation via email a couple of years ago, and never did much more than acknowledge he&#39;d worked with the people connecting to him. But whatever the reason, a quick update of "positions held" and skills is on his to-do list now.</p><p>The point being: you can be checked out online, so you may as well make it easy for people to see a rounded version of you there. I&#39;m not saying a PE firm or the guys at EquityFC and EquityFD will see it as a clincher (far from it!). But it can&#39;t hurt to present yourself in a forum that some people might be using to evaluate the basics about you.</p>]]></description>
<link>http://www.equityfc.com/blog.asp?page_id=&amp;blog_id=1&amp;entry_id=137</link>
<dc:creator>EquityFC</dc:creator>
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<pubDate>Tue, 01 Dec 2009 15:20:00 +0000</pubDate>
<title>In for the long haul</title>
<description><![CDATA[<p>File it under "no surprises": Q3 2009 has been one of the worst quarters on record for buyouts. So says the <a target="_blank" href="http://www.nottingham.ac.uk/business/cmbor/Press/05October2009.html">Centre for Management Buy Out research (CMBOR) in its most recent survey</a>. According to Nottingham University fellow Rod Ball (a researcher at CMBOR): "In terms of the number of deals, we&rsquo;re going back to mid-1980 levels; in terms of deal value, we&rsquo;re back in the mid-1990s." Deal volume has plummeted from almost 700 in 2008 to fewer than 300 in the first nine months of 2009.</p><p>Is there any good news in the numbers? Well, secondary buy-outs have plummeted as PE firms play cagey with each other in the absence of debt to justify deal mechanics. I think that&#39;s broadly good - SBOs do skew the market a bit and can often come across as being justified by financial clout rather than operational excellence.</p><p>More interestingly, two-thirds of buyouts so far this year have been under £10m. That is very good: it shows that smaller and potentially high growth companies are still in vogue - and they make the best businesses for broad-minded FCs and FDs, too.</p><p>The decline in deal activity is forcing many PE firms to think long-term - which is also good for smart financial managers. <a target="_blank" href="http://www.kelowna.com/2009/12/01/private-equitys-new-paradigm-long-term-value/">Lots of other people think so, too</a>. When PE firms go long, they look for operational gearing, not financial. That means a more interesting and creative role for the finance function, a better shot at job security and - perhaps best of all - a chance to learn a huge amount from the operational experts that the PE firm will wheel in to help effect performance improvements.</p><p>Yes, your shares might gather a bit more dust on the shelf. But when they pay out, it&#39;ll be a much sweeter taste in your mouth - and you&#39;ll be more versatile as an FD to boot.</p>]]></description>
<link>http://www.equityfc.com/blog.asp?page_id=&amp;blog_id=1&amp;entry_id=136</link>
<dc:creator>EquityFC</dc:creator>
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<pubDate>Sat, 28 Nov 2009 15:48:00 +0000</pubDate>
<title>Is regulation for PE a bad thing?</title>
<description><![CDATA[<p>The EU is on the brink of <a target="_blank" href="http://business.timesonline.co.uk/tol/business/industry_sectors/banking_and_finance/article6932441.ece">passing new disclosure regulations</a> for private equity firms. Opponents claim this will cost funds £30,000 a year and that&#39;s <a target="_blank" href="http://ftalphaville.ft.com/blog/2009/11/24/84851/private-equity-chief-in-rallying-call/">got the BVCA&#39;s back up</a>. They argue smaller PE firms will be worst hit and that could damage investment in smaller businesses.</p><p>I&#39;m not so sure. Private equity should be working very hard right now to put itself well above any suspicion. After all, with hundreds of billions of dollars-worth of debt falling due in the next couple of years, there&#39;s going to be an awful lot of bad press as funds&#39; equity is wiped out by bondholders.</p><p>This looming PR disaster (well, PR and, y&#39;know, collapsing companies and mass unemployment) is well articulated by <strong>Josh Kosman</strong><a target="_blank" href="http://www.marketobservation.com/blogs/index.php/2009/11/17/us-private-equity-next-bubble-to-burst?blog=7">in this video, where he&#39;s plugging his new book</a>. It&#39;s worth watching for a reminder about the danger of high leverage - although the fact you&#39;re reading this at <em>EquityFD</em> and <em>EquityFC</em> suggests you&#39;re looking for a challenge that&#39;s not merely about financial engineering. </p><p>Kosman signs off by asking why the debt interest tax shield is still in place. And his argument is pretty good. Tax relief on interest is there to promote investment in growth, not a gamble on enterprise valuation. And if ever politicians did get bold enough to repeal it (<em>hint: they won&#39;t...</em>), PE firms would have a lot more to complain about that a few extra disclosures. </p>]]></description>
<link>http://www.equityfc.com/blog.asp?page_id=&amp;blog_id=1&amp;entry_id=135</link>
<dc:creator>EquityFC</dc:creator>
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<pubDate>Thu, 26 Nov 2009 15:34:00 +0000</pubDate>
<title>The value of management</title>
<description><![CDATA[<p>There&#39;s been a lot of talk recently about distressed private equity businesses getting sold off cheap. The culprit? Debt. Take Springer, for example, the scientific publisher. <a target="_blank" href="http://www.timesonline.co.uk/tol/comment/columnists/article6930561.ece"><em>The Times </em>reports</a> that <strong>Cinven</strong> and <strong>Candover</strong> were trying to flog half of it for €400m - but failed, and with a £2bn debt roll-over around the corner are now asking for bids of half that amount. It&#39;s reverse leverage: tiny changes in perceived value kill the equity stake while the senior debt holders hover menacingly on the sidelines. (Menacingly <em>and</em> nervously, of course &ndash; a frightening combination.)</p><p>What&#39;s telling, however, is how management figure in all this. I was surprised, for example, that when one of my old employers breached its debt covenants, <a target="_blank" href="http://businessmedia.blogspot.com/2009/07/banks-take-helm-at-incisive.html">the bank left a chunk of management&#39;s equity in place</a>. Incisive Media is now owned by <strong>RBS</strong>, more or less, with <strong>Apax</strong> having taken a bath - its stake fell from 49% to 2%. But management kept a big slug of equity on the grounds that no-one&#39;s going to see much of a return if they just toddle off in frustration.</p><p>That&#39;s worth bearing in mind if you&#39;re looking at a PE-backed position. Of course, PE investors have a (some say deserved) reputation for being tough on management - and for rewarding them well if they perform. But they also need management to be bright-eyed, bushy tailed and in a positive, well-incentivised frame of mind. So if you know you can add value to a business - don&#39;t be shy about getting the right rewards.</p><p>(Oh, and get your PE backer to borrow far too much money, too. They might have ideas about how to run your business - but the bank almost certainly has none, so when they&#39;re in the driving seat, they need you even more!)</p>]]></description>
<link>http://www.equityfc.com/blog.asp?page_id=&amp;blog_id=1&amp;entry_id=134</link>
<dc:creator>EquityFC</dc:creator>
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<pubDate>Fri, 02 Oct 2009 09:28:00 +0000</pubDate>
<title>More on PE&#39;s turnaround</title>
<description><![CDATA[<p>Earlier this week, we highlighted anecdotal and incidental evidence that PE might be turning a corner in terms of exits. We end the week with <a target="_blank" href="http://www.thedeal.com/dealscape/2009/10/exits_venture_capital_ipo_ma.php">hard data</a>, although it suggests a proper upturn is still some way into 2010.</p><p>The US <a target="_blank" href="http://www.magnetmail.net/images/clients/NVCA/attach/Q309ExitsReleaseFINAL.pdf">National Venture Capital Association&#39;s exits survey</a> shows that Q3 2009 was... well, OK at best. Certainly the down trend is over, and there&#39;s plenty of optimistic talk. But the NVCA&#39;s chief Mark Heesen had this to say: "The fact that the many in the media are classifying three IPO&#39;s as resurgence is evidence of how low our expectations have become. [<em>That includes this blog, of course. Although we didn&#39;t put a rogue apostrophe in "IPOs", so nyah.</em>] ... While the psychology of the market is trending positive, our original forecast of a true recovery not beginning until 2010 still unfortunately holds true." </p><p>Meanwhile, <a target="_blank" href="http://fis.dowjones.com/VS/3QUSLiquidity.html">Dow Jones had slightly higher numbers for Q3 exits</a> (71 M&amp;A exits for $2.25 billion), but was equally cautious. Green shoots, then, but no mighty oaks.</p><p>On one other measure, we can only hope PE has bottomed out: fundraising. <a target="_blank" href="http://www.pehub.com/wordpress/wp-content/uploads//q3-2009-private-equity-fundraising-press-release-preqin-1102009.pdf">According to data from Prequin</a>, Q3 2009 was the lowest quarter for harvesting new funds since 2003, with only (only!) $38bn raised worldwide.</p><p>Actually, I think that&#39;s still a lot of dough, and the fact that deal activity has remained limited means many funds must still be sitting on some of that $400bn global cash overhang that was much talked-about in the summer. So I&#39;d be cautiously optimitic about next year (except for the big LBO players, who remain terminally borked by the debt markets and the collapse of sentiment in their model).</p><p><em>Caveat: A big factor looks likely to be the stock market in the run up to year end. If the froth - and it is very bubbly - blows off, that might dampen the enthusiasm for IPOs. Equally, higher unemployment could stall an economic recovery, making even operational improvement plays tough for PE firms. In the UK, then, we&#39;d better hope this silly politicians&#39; game of "who can promise the deepest cuts in the public sector payroll" goes away...</em></p>]]></description>
<link>http://www.equityfc.com/blog.asp?page_id=&amp;blog_id=1&amp;entry_id=133</link>
<dc:creator>EquityFC</dc:creator>
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<pubDate>Tue, 29 Sep 2009 12:19:00 +0000</pubDate>
<title>PE out of the doldrums?</title>
<description><![CDATA[<p>Finance execs looking for private equity-backed posts, take heart. There are lots of signs that the exits market is picking up. A decent bit of churn in PE portfolios open up options for fast-thinking FCs and FDs. So what are the portents that things have improved?</p><p>Well, I&#39;ll start with fantastic news from <a href="http://www.growthbusiness.co.uk/news/mergers-and-acquisitions/1075617/nvm-celebrates-lucrative-exit.thtml"><strong>NVM Private Equity</strong>, which has just exited from medical diagnostics firm <strong>DxS</strong></a> for a record-breaking return of 13 times money (providing earn-outs all click, of course). Disclaimer: I do help NVM with writing tasks, but the numbers are impressive. And they show one thing very clearly: smaller and mid-market PE houses are fun to work with. DxS had its hiccups on the way - including a big change of strategy when the market it was targeting didn&#39;t play out. But NVM backed the business through thick and thin over eight years. They also tweaked the management team when the strategy demanded it - creating opportunities for new finance execs, of course...</p><p>But the exit joy is not confined to these shores. <a href="http://ftalphaville.ft.com/blog/2009/09/28/74281/tpg-exits-down-under/"><em>FT Alphaville</em> reports that things are looking up in AsiaPac</a>, with big IPOs and trade sales. As confidence creeps back into the markets - particularly important as the secondary buy-out market hasn&#39;t quite yet taken off - we can expect more of these deals. Just look (ahem...) at the <a href="http://www.guardian.co.uk/business/2009/sep/27/new-look-flotation">New Look IPO, slated to value the PE-backed business at £1.7bn</a>.</p><p>It&#39;s not all buoyant. <a target="_blank" href="http://www.telegraph.co.uk/finance/comment/richardfletcher/6234942/Future-is-looking-bleak-for-private-equity.html">Richard Fletcher in the <em>Telegraph</em> reports a doomish conversation with a PE GP</a>, alleging that the party&#39;s over for the PE model. Well, he&#39;s wrong. Massive leverage and debt-enhanced equity multiples might well be a thing of the past - as Fletcher points out, public money investors will be wary of debt-laden companies like Jessop&#39;s coming onto the markets.</p><p>But PE is so much more than that &ndash; as hands-on, operationally driven firms like NVM make clear. Slaving away over the working capital and thrashing the cost base aren&#39;t any financial controller&#39;s idea of a good time. But spotting, evaluating and executing on market opportunities with a motivated operational colleagues and an interested, experienced and enthusiastic backer? That&#39;s more like it.</p>]]></description>
<link>http://www.equityfc.com/blog.asp?page_id=&amp;blog_id=1&amp;entry_id=132</link>
<dc:creator>EquityFC</dc:creator>
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<pubDate>Fri, 04 Sep 2009 07:33:00 +0000</pubDate>
<title>Jon Moulton&#39;s shock resignation</title>
<description><![CDATA[<p>A great scoop from Amy and the guys at private equity magazine <a target="_blank" href="http://www.realbusiness.co.uk/news/finance-and-banking/5683931/exclusive-jon-moulton-confirms-resignation.thtml"><em>Real Deals</em>: they&#39;ve got hold of Jon Moulton&#39;s resignation letter</a>, and seemingly before big guns like <a target="_blank" href="http://www.telegraph.co.uk/finance/newsbysector/banksandfinance/privateequity/6133522/Jon-Moulton-quits-Alchemy-in-boardroom-bust-up.html">the Telegraph</a>. Moulton founded <strong>Alchemy Partners</strong> as a upper-mid-market turnaround shop in the late nineties, and since then he&#39;s carved out a name for himself as the nation&#39;s PE figurehead.</p><p><br />Perhaps most famous for the deal he didn&#39;t do - he was denied the chance to buy Rover, which went instead to <a target="_blank" href="http://www.guardian.co.uk/business/2009/aug/11/profiles-mg-rover-phoenix-four">a group who had no idea about turning it round</a> but managed to pay themselves handsomely while it went bust again - Moulton was nevertheless a highly effective, straight-talking accountant of the old school. I interviewed him about six years ago and thought he was articulate, direct, fair and trustworthy - not bad for the PE industry!</p><p>That makes his departure all the more shocking - although the openness and directness of the resignation letter are not so surprising. He reveals that he&#39;s fallen out with fellow board members - whose own limited deal-doing record he exposes - over a shift in strategy from turnarounds to deals in the financial services sector. </p><p>Moulton is a loss to the industry. Although many a management team feared his no-nonsense approach (he told me that he fired around 60% of the FDs of portfolio companies they invested in!), the turnaround market is poorer for his departure. If I saw a chance to generate massive operational gains by rescuing a battered business, I know which backer I&#39;d have wanted.</p><p>Happy retirement, Jon.</p>]]></description>
<link>http://www.equityfc.com/blog.asp?page_id=&amp;blog_id=1&amp;entry_id=131</link>
<dc:creator>EquityFC</dc:creator>
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<pubDate>Wed, 02 Sep 2009 10:58:00 +0000</pubDate>
<title>The New Normal</title>
<description><![CDATA[<p>Blogger <a target="_blank" href="http://www.carriedinterest.com/">Carried Interest</a> has an excellent new post up discussing<a target="_blank" href="http://www.carriedinterest.com/2009/09/the-new-private-equity-normal.html"> "the new normal"</a> for the private equity industry. It&#39;s well worth a read. If you&#39;re joining a management team backed by PE or considering an MBO, it&#39;s vital that you have a keen sense of their priorities.</p><p><em>Carried Interest</em> flags up these five new realities that he feels will define the industry for some time to come:</p><ol><li>Fewer PE firms.</li><li>Tougher fund terms (which means lower fees and less generous carry terms for general partners).</li><li>Longer hold periods (although personally I think that&#39;s still a function of market buoyancy, not some newfound doctrine of sustainable ownership...).</li><li>Much less debt (CI reckons 50/50 debt/equity is a new norm; again, I&#39;m not so sure GPs have fallen conclusively out of love with leverage - but gone are the days of fractional equity...).</li><li>Improving GP operating skills. This is actually tied pretty closely with the longer hold periods and lower debt, of course. But it&#39;s right that the quality in the industry - GPs who help management teams add operating value - should rise to the top and out-price (or out-risk) the financial engineers. </li></ol><p>I think that all adds up to excellent news - if these are, indeed, new norms and not just a relatively short-term industry hair-shirt. It&#39;s particularly positive for finance execs. In most respects, the FD (and even the FC) role is becoming more outward-facing and, frankly, interesting. When financial engineering ruled the roost, I got the feeling some PE-backed finance execs felt a bit pressured to be number crunchers. These new realities should help them be more rounded again.</p>]]></description>
<link>http://www.equityfc.com/blog.asp?page_id=&amp;blog_id=1&amp;entry_id=130</link>
<dc:creator>EquityFC</dc:creator>
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<pubDate>Tue, 01 Sep 2009 09:13:00 +0000</pubDate>
<title>Here comes the money</title>
<description><![CDATA[<p>Private equity firms have been sitting on a tonne of cash for the past year - money raised in good times but struggling to find a home while debt finance has been scarce and vendors unwilling to sell. <a target="_blank" href="http://www.thedeal.com/dealscape/2009/06/private_equity_lbo_deals_fund.php">In June the "overhang" stood at $400bn globally</a>. Wow.<br /><br />Well, it&#39;s about to get bigger, at least in the US. <a target="_blank" href="http://www.thedeal.com/dealscape/2009/08/private_equity_fundraising_kkr.php">According to data from The Deal</a>, "in July and August, buyout shops rounded up $11.65 billion in new capital."(The site also has a good <a href="http://www.thedeal.com/newsweekly/dealwatch/pe-and-vc-fundraising.php">month-by-month summary of US PE activity</a>.) There are three reasons things seem to be kicking off again.</p><p>First, debt is creeping back in. Banks might balk at offering recession-hit mid-tier businesses working capital loans. But they have to earn a buck somehow. Lending - albeit at more sensible multiples - to fund cashflow positive buy-outs is a good call.</p><p>Second, the market is picking up. There&#39;s been a total drought for exits, but with the markets ticking up and corporate strategy (as opposed to cost-cutting) back on the boardroom agenda, the market could get going again. The Deal also says the secondary buyout market is due for a comeback, too.</p><p>Third, the industry has recalibrated. I think a genuine sense of contrition has developed in the PE industry over the past year. Massively leveraged deals and wanton profiteering during the boom years has created fall-out (<a target="_blank" href="http://news.google.co.uk/news/url?sa=t&amp;ct2=uk%2F0_0_s_1_2_aa&amp;usg=AFQjCNHkDEItEaLgCv2FDmYsAbVeAA0Fww&amp;sig2=pZOu1gy7bRRzIbPBfUWemw&amp;cid=1300625623&amp;ei=ndqcSuCPGtrbjQe3td_mAg&amp;rt=SEARCH&amp;vm=STANDARD&amp;url=http%3A%2F%2Fwww.bloomberg.com%2Fapps%2Fnews%3Fpid%3D20601103%26sid%3DaO4s0Waw_75g">just look at Reader&#39;s Digest</a>). Practitioners know they can and do create real value beyond financial engineering. That&#39;s why many of the new funds being raised are targeted at mid-market buy-outs - "investors showed a particular preference for middle market-focused shops," claims The Deal about this summer&#39;s fundraising - funding growing businesses that can generate true value in the right hands.</p><p>Hopefully that will be great news for the mid-market scene in the UK, too.That money has to be spent at some point - so polish up your business plan.</p><p><em><br /></em></p><p><em>PS - Just a final word of caution. There is still a massive - £100bn-ish - mountain of debt in British business due to be renegotiated over the next 18 months. How that particular problem is handled (both by individual companies and the banking sector as a whole) is going to be a factor in any upturn for the mid-market PE industry.</em></p>]]></description>
<link>http://www.equityfc.com/blog.asp?page_id=&amp;blog_id=1&amp;entry_id=129</link>
<dc:creator>EquityFC</dc:creator>
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<pubDate>Mon, 24 Aug 2009 13:28:00 +0000</pubDate>
<title>What backers want at board meetings</title>
<description><![CDATA[<p>If your business is private equity backed, there&#39;s a good chance that you&#39;ll have a general partner (GP) from the firm on your board - or possibly a non-exec well known to them. It&#39;s a monthly chance to put a good face forward with a key shareholder, of course, as well as an opportunity to pick their brains on strategic and operational decisions.<br /><br />So <a target="_blank" href="http://www.feld.com/wp/archives/2009/08/the-best-board-meetings.html">this post from US VC Brad Feld</a> should make interesting reading, both for FDs - at the meetings - and FCs, who are instrumental in ensuring the right information gets there. His five points boil down as follows:<br /></p><ol><li>Get the board pack out <strong>48 hours in advance</strong> - so no-one has an excuse for not being prepared. (To which I add: this makes finance function discipline and solid business intelligence processes a must.)</li><li>Have a <strong>less formal chat</strong> beforehand - Feld suggests lunch or dinner the night before. (With tight schedules - especially for GPs - perhaps board meetings after lunch are a good plan. Or schedule a breakfast get-together?)</li><li>Start with the <strong>admin stuff</strong> and get it all done within 30 minutes. (Nice touch - it means all the necessary stuff is done with zero defects and warms up the board for the meaty debate to come.)</li><li>Discuss a <strong>one-slide financial summary</strong> for the period. (Again, sensible stuff - let the numbers tell the story. But the onus is on the FD and his or her team to get that slide just right. Don&#39;t overcomplicate it - but keep it informative.)</li><li>Then the CEO offers a <strong>one-slide bulletted agenda</strong> for the rest of the meeting. </li></ol><p>The best thing about this tip list? There are only two pages to consider in the meeting. The meat of the data all comes in the board pack and the focus is on useful debate. The PE GP should love it.<br /></p>]]></description>
<link>http://www.equityfc.com/blog.asp?page_id=&amp;blog_id=1&amp;entry_id=128</link>
<dc:creator>EquityFC</dc:creator>
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<pubDate>Fri, 07 Aug 2009 16:42:00 +0000</pubDate>
<title>Something lighthearted for Friday</title>
<description><![CDATA[<p>Private equity investment can be challenging for both sides, and this instructional video demonstrates. Perhaps they needed a financial controller to make sense of it all...</p><p><a target="_blank" href="http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=pR67cA6MhiU">Awkward silences at the Dragon&#39;s Den</a></p>]]></description>
<link>http://www.equityfc.com/blog.asp?page_id=&amp;blog_id=1&amp;entry_id=127</link>
<dc:creator>EquityFC</dc:creator>
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<pubDate>Tue, 04 Aug 2009 10:43:00 +0000</pubDate>
<title>The trillion-dollar question: will you beat the rush?</title>
<description><![CDATA[<p>If I was a manager in an unloved division of some faceless corporate giant, I&#39;d be sharpening my pencil about now. The MBO market is going to blossom at some point over the next 12 months, and private equity firms are going to be scavenging for every last viable opportunity. Guys with half-decent business plans - and some sound financials to back them up - are going to be gold-dust.</p><p>If that seems a bold assertion, consider this: there&#39;s now estimated to be <a target="_blank" href="http://www.bloggingbuyouts.com/2009/08/01/with-private-equity-returns-down-cash-accumulates-on-the-sideli/">$1,000,000,000,000 of private equity cash sitting on the sidelines</a>. As <a target="_blank" href="http://www.bloggingbuyouts.com/">bloggingbuyouts</a> explains: "The United States led the world with $608.9bn in uncommitted
capital, with Europe at $286.3bn and the rest of the world at
$183.4bn. The buyout sector remains the largest with $507.1bn in dry powder waiting for acquisition targets to be identified.
Real estate funds are sitting on $194.1bn, and
venture funds have $153bn waiting to be put into action."</p><p>While that&#39;s going to create a lot of activity - and openings for finance execs, natch - two other things to bear in mind. First, if you&#39;re already PE-backed, your GPs might well be able to fund acquisitions if they have a compelling logic. A recession is a great time to build a new corporate giant, and if we have a double-dip downturn, expect acquisition prices to drop to attractive levels around Christmas.</p><p>And second, those prices are going to climb pretty soon. If the floodgates open - and I think we&#39;re talking about an obvious and sustained return to economic stability plus a bit of liquidity in debt markets - competition for assets is going to fierce. So smart FDs and FCs will be working hard to show their own business is as efficient as possible in areas like cash conversion - instilling confidence in their backers to act early and beat the rush.</p>]]></description>
<link>http://www.equityfc.com/blog.asp?page_id=&amp;blog_id=1&amp;entry_id=126</link>
<dc:creator>EquityFC</dc:creator>
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<pubDate>Mon, 03 Aug 2009 10:27:00 +0000</pubDate>
<title>PE IPOs may be back - but does it matter?</title>
<description><![CDATA[<p>For well over a year now, private equity firms have been facing a churn problem. With debt markets closed, trade buyers nursing their balance sheets and stock markets in free-fall, exits have been thin on the ground. Fewer exits means fewer deals.</p><p>That&#39;s been sort-of good news for finance execs. PE firms have had to focus on performance issues at portfolio businesses - often bringing in or beefing up a finance team including and FD or FC. And we do like to see exciting opportunities for finance execs in PE-backed businesses facing interesting challenges.</p><p>No it seems one exit route - flotations - is back on the agenda. <a target="_blank" href="http://news.yahoo.com/s/nm/20090801/bs_nm/us_kkr_ipos">KKR is reported to be putting several of its businesses into the market</a> -but it&#39;s not hard to find news of <a target="_blank" href="http://www.pehub.com/45946/15-more-potential-pe-backed-ipos/">several other sizeable IPO exits on the starting blocks</a>, including Bird&#39;s Eye, United Biscuits and Weetabix.</p><p>But here&#39;s the thing: does that really make any difference? Having had its <a target="_blank" href="http://www.ft.com/cms/s/0/d027d03c-7d6b-11de-b8ee-00144feabdc0.html?nclick_check=1">worst year on record in 2008</a>, private equity was never going to just roll over and die. PE firms have responded with more focus on operational improvement than financial engineering (and so much the better, say many of us). They&#39;ve engaged in equity-only deals, commonly using innovative debt swap tools - like the recent <a target="_blank" href="http://privateequityblogger.com/2009/07/management-buyouts.html">Foundation Group acquisition by Gresham Private Equity</a>.</p><p>And in the mid-market, at any rate, deals have continued to flow, albeit at a slower pace. Point being, the re-emergence of the public equity markets as a potential exit route is welcome - and should have those of you interested in PE-backed FD and FC jobs weighing up the kind of skills or strategy you might bring to the party these days.</p><p>But it doesn&#39;t change the fundamentals for fast-growth, equity-backed businesses. Strong all-rounders with good general business skills, a steely grip on cash, sound communication skills and leadership qualities are always top of the shopping list.</p>]]></description>
<link>http://www.equityfc.com/blog.asp?page_id=&amp;blog_id=1&amp;entry_id=125</link>
<dc:creator>EquityFC</dc:creator>
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<pubDate>Tue, 28 Apr 2009 11:08:00 +0000</pubDate>
<title>More on secondaries</title>
<description><![CDATA[<p>Although I&#39;ve been enthusiastic about the prospects for deal activity to rise thanks to an improving environment for IPOs, it would be remiss not to note that there&#39;s also evidence that it&#39;s PE houses, not corporates, who are getting more realistic about asset prices and thereby boosting deals.<br /><br />Take the <a target="_blank" href="http://www.cnbc.com/id/30185120">news</a> a couple of weeks ago that <strong>"Goldman Sachs Group&#39;s</strong> asset
management unit has raised $5.5 billion from
investors to start a fifth fund dedicated to buying private equity
investments on the secondary market". I can&#39;t believe Goldman has a tonne of bankers drooling at the thought of providing massive leverage to these deals. So the value must be in two areas. Recovery plays - because almost anything you buy in a recession must deliver better performance by the end of 2010. And distressed sales. Many PE funds must be reaching investment horizons and will need to crystalise value - even if that value&#39;s not as much as they&#39;d like.</p><p>I posted yesterday that secondary buyouts tended to the frothy side of deals, especially compared to IPOs and trade sales. That&#39;s still true - but if Goldman&#39;s funds are planning to snap up assets on the cheap and build them through a recovery, that&#39;s still better than naked financial engineering. And that sort of deal is much more fun for FCs and FDs, too. It&#39;s about creating value - not just scrambling for cash to pay down debt.  </p>]]></description>
<link>http://www.equityfc.com/blog.asp?page_id=&amp;blog_id=1&amp;entry_id=124</link>
<dc:creator>EquityFC</dc:creator>
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<pubDate>Mon, 27 Apr 2009 08:39:00 +0000</pubDate>
<title>Green shoots!</title>
<description><![CDATA[<p>Good financial execs are always in demand by PE firms and their portfolio companies, whatever the economic climate. But more opportunities (and more interesting ones) tend to arise when there&#39;s a bit of churn in the market. MBOs help because a former divisional FC might not cut it as a PE-backed FD &ndash; and their replacement will need his or her own FC in turn, for example. The problem during the "crecession crunch" has been a decline in that level of churn. Only the other day, the editor of Real Deals was bemoaning the lack of deals to fill pages in the magazine.<br /><br />Yes, some sectors have seen real drama, leading to distressed sales - but there aren&#39;t that many PE firms with the expertise in insolvency, hardcore turnaround or radical change to make picking up the basket cases that attractive. And, despite widespread fears over corporate debt default rates, not that many BigCos have felt the need to hive off divisions to management on the cheap (assuming management can get backing, even if asset prices have been atractive).<br /><br />But at the risk of incurring the wrath of readers, there seem to be green shoots. (People routinely get angry at the mention of those two little words, as if it&#39;s rude to seek out optimistic signs. They get angry with me because <a target="_blank" href="http://rjgy.blogspot.com/2008/09/dead-cat-bounces.html">my predictions often turn out very wrong</a>.) Today&#39;s FT, for example, runs with the headline: "<a target="_blank" href="http://www.ft.com/cms/s/0/b310c5da-327a-11de-8116-00144feabdc0.html">Itchy private equity ready for IPO spurt</a>".<br /><br />This story is important to two reasons. First, and most obviously, with stock markets showing some kind of stability, exits can get going again. Hurrah! That means a bit of churn, some cash freed up for fresh deals and greater optminism in the PE community. When they&#39;re optimistic, they deal more. QED.<br /><br />Second, it also shows that PE is getting back to a much more stable way of doing business. Looking to flotations - rather than secondary buyouts - as a means of realising value from an investment is inherently more stable than relying solely on other PE firms coming in for assets (although trade sales should, in theory, always realise the most value - when they start to climb, we&#39;re into giant beanstalk territory). I always felt the rise in secondaries was a symptom of a reliance of financial engineering. It suggests a financial buyer can price a trade or public buyer out of the market, which flies in the face of common sense.<br /><br />So two cheers for the green shoots of PE IPOs. I&#39;m holding back one cheer - the <a target="_blank" href="http://www.telegraph.co.uk/finance/newsbysector/banksandfinance/privateequity/4958681/Secondary-buyouts-to-rise-as-new-rules-slash-valuations.html">Telegraph</a> is citing the 2009 <a target="_blank" href="http://www.preqin.com/itemProduct.aspx?s=1&amp;itemID=1187">Preqin</a> Global Private Equity Review which claims new accounting rules forcing PE firms to hold assets at current disposal values (rather than historic cost) will boost... the secondary buyout market. The review states: "Eight of the 20 secondaries vehicles currently on the road 
  are targeting commitments of $2bn or more. If these vehicles were to close 
  on target in 2009, they would raise aggregate capital of almost $27bn."
Sigh. Well, I guess it&#39;s stll churn...</p>]]></description>
<link>http://www.equityfc.com/blog.asp?page_id=&amp;blog_id=1&amp;entry_id=123</link>
<dc:creator>EquityFC</dc:creator>
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<pubDate>Mon, 06 Apr 2009 10:30:00 +0000</pubDate>
<title>Alistair Darling, business angel</title>
<description><![CDATA[<p>OK, so that&#39;s the most misleading headline I&#39;ve ever written. But the <a target="_blank" href="http://www.guardian.co.uk/business/2009/apr/05/retail-privateequity">news that ironmonger Robert Dyas is close to completing an MBO</a> backed by Lloyds TSB  - wiping out existing PE investor <a target="_blank" href="http://www.changecapitalpartners.com/home/">Change Capital</a> - does, sort of, bring the government (the biggest shareholder in the bank) into the realm of private equity. The decision has been greeted by some as a sign that a state-backed bank is prepared to intervene to save jobs (in this case, 1,200). But that&#39;s not true - and there&#39;s something more significant going on here.</p><p>At its heart, this isn&#39;t a government bail-out - it&#39;s a smart investment decision. The bank (actually, AIB is also into Dyas for a fair chunk of change) has looked at what is basically a decent company - it&#39;s still profitable - and decided that it&#39;s loans are better served by taking over from the equity investor than by liquidating. Crucially, it&#39;s brought in new management to ensure the business is run with more discipline. Former Kingfisher and MFI director Stephen Round (OK, he&#39;s a marketer, not an FD...) and corporate turnaround specialist <a target="_blank" href="http://www.grayuk.org/index.html">Ian Gray</a>, an accountant by training, will take over. With revenues of £100m, they should be able to manage cash more aggressively and keep the thing going quite happily. Does this mean banks across the land have remembered that helping to finance businesses in temporary financial difficulty is their job? Probably not. But it&#39;s a high profile example that they do sometimes remember to apply common sense.</p><p>It also shows how the old private equity leverage model is, well, broken. Change Capital only injected £10m when it bought Dyas for £61m five years ago (as well as handing over £17m to the incumbent management team!), a decision that now looks foolhardy. OK, so its downside is limited to £10m, but without all that debt to service, who knows how long Dyas could have traded quite happily - into the upturn, probably, and a much better result for the investors and the banks. That&#39;s not a direct criticism of Change - my target is the model than prevailed in the boom years for PE, when returns were the only consideration and too much financial risk was lumped into investments. (Mind you, with luminaries such as former M&amp;S boss Luc Vandevelde on the board, you&#39;d have thought they could have made a better fist of running a retail business.)</p><p>Final point: robust, well-established mid-market businesses like Robert Dyas are more than capable of weathering the downturn. Heck, with Woolworths out of the picture, Dyas is pretty much the only High Street ironmonger left trading, so it ought to do well. (I love it, personally. Bought a sweater de-bobbler there this weekend.) But they need sensible backers and, crucially, disciplined financial management to do so. Dyas is a reminder than in additional to tightly-controlled finances, PE-backed companies need to be operating under the right long-term financial <em>strategy</em>, too. Massive leverage at a time of wobbly cash-flows isn&#39;t it.</p>]]></description>
<link>http://www.equityfc.com/blog.asp?page_id=&amp;blog_id=1&amp;entry_id=122</link>
<dc:creator>EquityFC</dc:creator>
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<pubDate>Thu, 02 Apr 2009 10:48:00 +0000</pubDate>
<title>PE investment: media spinning a bad news story?</title>
<description><![CDATA[<p>There&#39;s a fair bit of <a href="http://www.independent.co.uk/news/business/news/private-equity-firms-fundraising-falls-to-lowest-level-since-2003-1660104.html" target="_new">coverage</a> today for the news that Q1 private equity fundraising has <a href="http://www.wealth-bulletin.com/home/rss/content/1053802236/" target="_new">fallen to "a five-year low"</a>. The headline in the FT was cataclysmic for the sector: <a href="http://www.ft.com/cms/s/0/baad2bb4-1f1d-11de-a748-00144feabdc0.html?nclick_check=1" target="_new">"Investors steer clear of private equity funds"</a>. So is all lost? Have investors jumped ship completely, as that headline implies? Not quite.</p>
<p>Let&#39;s start by getting a little more sanguine about those fundraising numbers. Here&#39;s the quote (which probably comes from a press release, given that it&#39;s repeated almost verbatim in the Indie, the FT and elsewhere): "A total of $45.9bn (£32bn) was raised for 71 private equity funds in the first quarter of the year, according to Preqin. This is the lowest figure since the final three months of 2003, when $34bn was raised as the global economy emerged from the slowdown resulting from the implosion of the dot.com boom. The total compares with $125bn raised in the fourth quarter of last year."</p>
<p>That is a big drop, alright. But given that the compound annual growth rate for funds raised between 2003 and 2007 was <a href="http://www.docstoc.com/docs/3607290/Private-Equity-Fundraising-Update" target="_new">47.6%</a>, something had to give. Bear in mind also that 15 years ago $46bn would have been a stellar result for the whole year, never mind the second quarter of a major global recession. It&#39;s still a heck of a lot of money.</p>
<p>The press release goes on to talk about the number of funds extending or postponing close - a sign, clearly, that they are in biiiig trouble. Well, sort of. More importantly, it continues: "the number of active fundraisings has continued to rise year on year. In January this year there were 1624 funds on the road targeting $889bn, compared with 1304 funds chasing $705bn in January 2008 and 918 targeting $396bn in January 2007. By March this year, the number had risen to 1673." Well no wonder some funds are having trouble closing!</p>
<p>Apart from anything else, anecdotal evidence suggests that many funds are over-capitalised and have been for a couple of years. <a href="http://www.theengineer.co.uk/Articles/310673/Equity+investment.htm" target="_new">A dearth of deal opportunities</a> - prices have only fallen hard for assets you really wouldn&#39;t want to buy - means many PE firms are holding tight and waiting for some sign of what we can expect from the economy in the medium term. At heart, many PE managers are just arbitragers: their skill is spotting the upturns, either for individual companies or whole sectors, before anyone else.</p>
<p>So not only is the FT headline about investors steering clear wrong - I think we&#39;ll see much more activity from PE firms in the back half of the year. By then, many corporates will be feeling the pinch of lower cashflows and expensive re-financings and will have to be offloading good businesses at reasonable prices. Punting on an end to economy contraction in H1 2010, PE firms will start buying, aiming to find both "rising tide" returns and get stuck in with restructurings and consolidations aimed at exploiting new economic realities beyond 2012.</p>
<p>That&#39;s where you come in. Right now, much of the demand for finance execs is coming from PE-backed companies working hard to survive. Good planning, iron-willed control of cash and great communication skills are the watchword. But hold tight later this year: when new deals start rolling, PE firms are going to be looking for finance execs who can combine those skills with the ability to bring discipline to growth and creativity to structure. It&#39;s gonna get interesting...</p>
<p>Meanwhile, the mainstream media - as yesterday&#39;s G20 coverage shows - just love to manufacture short-term scare stories. After all, they&#39;re just tomorrow&#39;s chip wrappings...</p>]]></description>
<link>http://www.equityfc.com/blog.asp?page_id=&amp;blog_id=1&amp;entry_id=121</link>
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<pubDate>Wed, 01 Apr 2009 11:18:00 +0000</pubDate>
<title>Look East - but keep an eye out at home</title>
<description><![CDATA[<p>the UK private equity scene looks fairly quiet at the moment. But PE managers are nothing is not resourceful, so it&#39;s interesting to note their interest in parts of the world where deal activity might be on the up.</p>
<p>One such example is the Gulf states where, <a href="http://privateequityblogger.com/2009/03/gulf-private-equity.html" target="_new">according to PrivateEquityBlogger</a>, Carlyle has just committed a $500m fund. (It also covers North Africa, interestingly...) At a recent conference in Dubai, Abraaj Capital CEO Arif Naqvi explained why the Gulf is interesting PE firms: "The public markets are paralyzed and closed, not just regionally but globally. Well, we are the alternative option. Private equity has a good name in this region. People have seen how value has been created."</p>
<p>Well, well. Because if that&#39;s true of the Gulf states (which are far from being unaffected by the global recession), it&#39;s also true of the UK. And if you translate developing economic interests in North Africa and the Middle East into innovative businesses in the UK, you can make a convincing argument that the mid-market privately-held sector is where it&#39;s at for ambitious finance execs.</p>
<p>The rationale is simple: recessions change the rules. They make giant companies look ponderous and bloated. And while fast-growth companies might have raised cash in flotations ten years ago, these days "the public markets are paralysed" - giving PE firms an opportunity to invest those dormant billions and risk-alert execs the chance to be part of the kind of businesses that will change the game post-recession.</p>
<p>Some of those execs will be tempted overseas to deploy their skills in fast growth businesses in the Middle East - others will see that similar openings can probably be found no further away than East Anglia!</p>
<p>(Incidentally, while we&#39;re looking East, check out some of the inspiring start-up talk at Indian blog <a href="http://startupcentral.in/2009/03/entrepreneur-round-table-before-after-starting-up-part-i/" target="_new">StartUpCentral</a>. Recession or not, there will be entrepreneurs and there will be game-changing businesses that can grow quickly with the right financing - and financial management.) </p>]]></description>
<link>http://www.equityfc.com/blog.asp?page_id=&amp;blog_id=1&amp;entry_id=120</link>
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<pubDate>Tue, 31 Mar 2009 11:06:00 +0000</pubDate>
<title>Where are the deals?</title>
<description><![CDATA[<p>Part of the problem seems to be that the recession is fairly localised - for now. While some sectors are getting annihilated (think big-ticket items like cars and plasma screen TVs), an awful lot of businesses are holding on quite well, so they don&#39;t need to sell. My nephew, for example, is a supervisor at an events facilities company. They have seen some cancellations or scaling back of budgets - but there&#39;s still enough business going on to keep them going. But here&#39;s the thing: they&#39;re no loner interested in the profitability of contracts - they&#39;re focused exclusively on cash flow.</p>
<p>That&#39;s interesting news for finance executives. While deal-flow creates upheaval in mid-market businesses - and job opportunities for FCs and FDs, especially in corporate spin-outs where there isn&#39;t any strategic financial management - the fact that many businesses are hanging in there but doing things differently (and many PE firms are still controlling businesses they might have exited a year or two earlier in better times) means they need different kinds of financial management expertise.</p>
<p>This is a well-worn theme here at EquityFC - but clich&eacute;s happen for a reason: they&#39;re true. Hence the arrival of EquityInterim, which will cater for precisely that kind of opportunity. Don&#39;t count out the prospect of deals coming back later in the year and churning FC and FD posts afresh. But don&#39;t ignore the opportunities that exist right now, either. </p>]]></description>
<link>http://www.equityfc.com/blog.asp?page_id=&amp;blog_id=1&amp;entry_id=119</link>
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<pubDate>Thu, 05 Feb 2009 11:42:00 +0000</pubDate>
<title>But on the other hand...</title>
<description><![CDATA[<p>Yesterday we highlighted the bullishness that&#39;s present among many in the private equity world. (Although perhaps "bullishness" is overstating it... "resilience"? Perhaps "positivity"?) But there are still many who see problems for PE funds this year, as well as opportunities from cash-hungry businesses and more realistic asset prices.<br /><br />The big problem is that while low asset prices make acquisitions attractive, they also make exits painful. Even firms that don&#39;t have to worry about fund churn - and can avoid making untimely exits - are facing <a href="http://www.ft.com/cms/s/0/5b493c1c-ef07-11dd-bbb5-0000779fd2ac.html" target="_new">some big write-downs</a> that will affect attractiveness as an asset class.<br /><br />Debt roll-overs (which Henry Kravis sees as an opportunity to pick up equity on the cheap, see yesterday&#39;s post) will also hurt the big LBO players. <a href="http://www.guardian.co.uk/business/2009/feb/03/private-equity-bubble-to-burst" target="_new">According to unions on both sides of the Atlantic</a>, "more than $500bn (£346bn) of private equity debt needs to berenegotiated by 2010. They cited a prediction by Alchemy Partners&#39; bossJon Moulton that up to 30% of mid-market buyouts could end in default." <a href="http://www.citywire.co.uk/personal/-/comment/morning-line/content.aspx?ID=328300" target="_new">Others have picked up this theme</a> of a "looming disaster for private equity".<br /><br />In fact I think they&#39;re overplaying that last point. While the big LBOs are mega-leveraged (even small percentage drops in cash flow start to really hurt their ability to repay debt, and rolling over a couple of billion is no cake-walk), mid-market firms with visible cash-flows and a clear ability to meet debt payments ought to be able to get roll-overs away. After all, notwothstanding what the media are saying, banks exist to lend money - and so long as the risk profile is right, they will. It&#39;s just that the risk profile for many businesses has been badly hit by recession fears.<br /><br />And that&#39;s the important bit: PE-backed companies with a track record of disciplined financial management and visibility of earnings should be fine. Better yet, mid-market and venture PE funds are much happier pumping in money to fund growth and working capital - since that&#39;s always been part of the business model. For FDs and FCs, then, these businesses still represent a real opportunity - and, if anything, the current economic conditions make smaller, more agile and more innovative companies that much more engaging for both investors and management.</p>]]></description>
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<pubDate>Wed, 04 Feb 2009 10:38:00 +0000</pubDate>
<title>"Private equity is not dead"</title>
<description><![CDATA[<p><a href="http://www.marketwatch.com/news/story/Reporters-notebook-Long-live-private/story.aspx?guid=%7BE1610606-75B3-4615-81F8-6C144C4FFCE5%7D" target="_new">So sayeth Henry Kravis</a>, KKR&#39;s eponymous commander-in-chief and PE survivor of at least two recessions and one major banking crisis. He was speaking at Davos - we can&#39;t imagine anyone being better qualified to join assorted other Masters of the Universe than Henry - and made it clear that the industry has a huge role to play in (effectively) bailing out companies whose debt is falling due at a time when fresh capital is hard to find.<br /><br />Does this "big beast" financial opportunism work for growth businesses in the mid-market? Well, possibly. In recent conversations with PE managers and the FDs at mid-market businesses, the prevailing attitude is one of grim determination to make the most of this recession year. (Grim, in the sense that everyone is feeling a little pain at the moment; determination, because almost everyone I &#39;ve talked to thinks "this, too, will pass"; this recession year, since Im hoping at least part of 2010 will see a return to growth.)<br /><br />PE needs ambitious entrepreneurs partnered with smart, disciplined FDs and FCs to deliver decent returns. And while asset prices are in the bog - and those big-beast corporates with their rolling-over debt need cash from spun-out subsidiaries - mid-market PE players are right to be optimistic about the opportunities.</p>]]></description>
<link>http://www.equityfc.com/blog.asp?page_id=&amp;blog_id=1&amp;entry_id=115</link>
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<pubDate>Thu, 08 Jan 2009 11:57:00 +0000</pubDate>
<title>Reading round-up</title>
<description><![CDATA[<p>FCs and FDs looking for PE placements in 2009 will need to be well-read on their potential backers and their fortunes in these testing times. So enjoy one of our regular round-ups of the PE landscape - this update is mostly material from late 2008, and I&#39;ll bring you something fresher later in the week.<br /><br />First up, <a href="http://replytoall.typepad.com/reply_to_all/2008/12/does-private-equity-offer-superior-returns.html" target="_new">some interesting data on PE returns</a>. The slideshow is US focused, but it adds some interesting background to current PE thinking.<br /><br />Then we have some <a href="http://tellugramblog.blogspot.com/2008/11/raging-bull-on-private-equity.html" target="_new">interesting analysis</a> sparked off by Blackstone&#39;s Steve Schwarzman about the opportunities for PE during an economic bloodbath. In short: Blackstone&#39;s own performance should have us take his bullishness with a pinch of salt, but there is gold for those who seek it.<br /><br />Now <a href="http://www.guardian.co.uk/business/2008/nov/29/private-equity-credit-crunch" target="_new">a more downbeat assessment</a> focusing on the way Guy Hands at Terra Firma seems to be digging in. True, some of TF&#39;s own investments have been looking a bit peaky which might accoutn for his pessimism. But taking the froth out of PE - like any business or sector - is no bad thing.<br /><br />One feature of the current climate is scarcity of debt - and, <a href="http://www.thestalwart.com/the_stalwart/2008/12/private-equity-drama-unfolding.html" target="_new">as this post explains</a>, already highly leveraged PE-backed businesses are feeling the pinch as cash flows decline. Aren&#39;t you pleased that you&#39;re here looking for mid-market and high-growth opportunities rather than big LBOs?<br /><br />Finally, <a href="http://startupcentral.in/2008/12/29/venture-capital-cools-off-in-2008-five-notable-deals/" target="_new">an upbeat look at some good deals done in 2008</a>... in India. Emerging markets are getting the PE bug, and since a poor economic performance in many of these markets in growth slowing from double-digit rates, it pays to keep an eye on what they&#39;re up to. Your own backers may be looking more globally for deals and synergies with your own business - and the type of company attracting PE backing over there is an interesting pointer to deals here in the UK.</p>]]></description>
<link>http://www.equityfc.com/blog.asp?page_id=&amp;blog_id=1&amp;entry_id=113</link>
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<pubDate>Mon, 05 Jan 2009 12:13:00 +0000</pubDate>
<title>Picking your PE partner</title>
<description><![CDATA[<p>Most FCs and FDs I know stress the importance of being able to work with their PE backers - you&#39;re going to be point-person for management, especially if the finances are tight during the recession, and that diplomacy is better conducted with people you can work with.<br /><br />So I was interested to read <a href="http://www.venturecompany.com/opinions/files/investors_avoid.html" target="_new">this article about picking your investors</a> - and how to avoid the bad ones. It&#39;s written for start-up entrepreneurs in the US, so there&#39;s a fair degree of localisation to be done. But it&#39;s a salutory reminder of the value of doing your own investor due diligence.</p>]]></description>
<link>http://www.equityfc.com/blog.asp?page_id=&amp;blog_id=1&amp;entry_id=114</link>
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<pubDate>Mon, 05 Jan 2009 11:44:00 +0000</pubDate>
<title>PE can help the economy in 2009</title>
<description><![CDATA[<p>Welcome back from the seasonal break and happy new year. Happy? Well, the recession looks like being a challenge for all FDs and FCs, and the way it&#39;s being discussed at the moment, we&#39;re unlikely to see any good news until the decade is out.<br /><br />I&#39;ll come onto some of the more doomish data released at the end of last year in a post later. But whether you&#39;re already in a PE-backed business or are looking for an assignment at one, it pays to keep your head up and look for positive possibilities. So check out <a href="http://www.hedgeweek.com/articles/detail.jsp?content_id=279036&amp;livehome=true" target="_new">just such an upbeat analysis</a> from <strong>Simon Walker</strong>, CEO of the BVCA: "Private equity provides many of the things we need to make our business
sector and our economy more successful and productive. That is more
true than ever when you think about the problems we face today."<br /><br />He reckons there are four major plusses. First, PE firms have cash that the business world desperately needs. Global funds raised more than $320bn in the first half of 2008 alone. Pretty good. Second, PE is (traditionally, at least) a long-term investor. If your business needs time to get it right, you&#39;ll have it - although it&#39;ll pay to keep your backers horribly well-informed during these tough times. Third, that PE cash will be deployed across the economy - from start-ups to FTSE buy-outs. That spread of risk appetite is good for the business community as a whole. Finally, poor returns on the public markets and in fixed-income assets mean pension funds will put more money into PE to be used for these long-term, risk managed investments.<br /><br />Walker makes all the usual caveats about regulation and taxation - but finance execs take note: the rules have changed. "People in private equity will prove their worth - or not - by
delivering hard-won operational improvements and not clever financial
engineering," he says. That subtly shifts the emphasis for portfolio FDs and FCs.</p>]]></description>
<link>http://www.equityfc.com/blog.asp?page_id=&amp;blog_id=1&amp;entry_id=112</link>
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<pubDate>Wed, 26 Nov 2008 11:03:00 +0000</pubDate>
<title>Reading round-up</title>
<description><![CDATA[<p>I&#39;ve been storing up a whole bunch of interesting reading for FCs and FDs seeking positions in PE-backed companies or already working in them. Great news on finance exec pay, some interesting challenges (and opportunities) for the PE industry and some food for thought. Enjoy:<br /><br />Watson Wyatt <a href="http://www.dofonline.co.uk/strategic-finance/a-new-era-for-private-equity-110803.html" target="_new">has some advice</a> on successful PE firms during the credit crunch. "The new world will reward those long-term and selective managers with
strong track records of creating value through accelerating the
earnings growth of their portfolio companies.&rdquo; Great news for finance execs, who are well-placed to help.<br /><br />At last, <a href="http://business.timesonline.co.uk/tol/business/entrepreneur/article5061717.ece" target="_new">a half-decent look at recession planning</a> for mid market business from the mainstream media - including positive input from PE managers.<br /><br />And a <a href="http://www.economist.com/business/displaystory.cfm?story_id=12499201" target="_new">positive piece on how PE is keeping its powder dry</a>, from the Economist - well worth a read (and read <a href="http://www.amazon.co.uk/s/ref=nb_ss_w_h__0_10?url=search-alias%3Daps&amp;field-keywords=barbarians+at+the+gate&amp;sprefix=barbarians" target="_new">Barbarians at the Gate</a> if you haven&#39;t yet. Really. It&#39;s important.)<br /><br />Another <a href="http://www.ft.com/cms/s/0/6b4069da-b1e3-11dd-b97a-0000779fd18c.html" target="_new">"PE returns to managing for growth"</a> piece, this time from the FT: "A lot of people in private equity, and the managers they&rsquo;ve brought
in, are all about delivering significant growth. Now they have to put
in downturn plans and think about restructuring, and that&rsquo;s not their
core competency &ndash; this is where consultants can come into their own." Enter the finance function, natch.<br /><br />All this demand for strong, creative finance execs is <a href="http://www.cfo.com/article.cfm/12492593/c_12493013" target="_new">pushing up pay for those that can deliver</a>, according to CFO.com. the downside? Turnover among senior finance execs is on the rise - it&#39;s the sack for those who can&#39;t deliver.<br /><br />Two excellent posts from a blog you should really add to your RSS feed: <a href="http://privateequityblogger.com" target="_new">PrivateEquityBlogger</a>. First, on <a href="http://privateequityblogger.com/2008/11/private-equity-growth.html" target="_new">growth in PE-backed businesses</a>: "A key advantage of private equity firms holding a company is that it
can focus on long-term needs and changes, unlike many public companies." Second, a post about <a href="http://privateequityblogger.com/2008/11/private-equity-cfo.html" target="_new">CFOs at PE-backed businesses</a>: "As chief financial officers anticipate a greater role and higher
compensation in private companies the transition from large public
companies to smaller private equity firms may become more and more
attractive, even with the inherent risks." (Actually, let&#39;s add a third: <a href="http://privateequityblogger.com/2008/11/private-equity-turnaround.html" target="_new">this examines issues in PE-backed turnarounds</a>, which I suspect is getting more relevant by the day.)<br /><br />Happy reading! (Oh, and feel free to email if you don&#39;t know what an RSS feed is: richardDOTyoungATgmail.com</p>]]></description>
<link>http://www.equityfc.com/blog.asp?page_id=&amp;blog_id=1&amp;entry_id=111</link>
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<pubDate>Mon, 17 Nov 2008 11:23:00 +0000</pubDate>
<title>How to</title>
<description><![CDATA[<p>Check out this <a href="http://privateequityblogger.com/2008/11/private-equity-book.html" target="_new">brief review</a> of a short book by Orit Gadiesh and Hugh MacArthur called <a href="http://www.amazon.co.uk/Lessons-Private-Equity-Company-Memo/dp/1422124959/ref=sr_1_1?ie=UTF8&amp;s=books&amp;qid=1226921186&amp;sr=8-1" target="_new">"Lessons from Private Equity"</a>. It sounds pretty high level, but if you&#39;re considering a move into a PE-backed business or you&#39;re getting to grips with PE backing, it could be just the train reading you&#39;ve been looking for.<br /><br />Blogger Theo O&#39;Brien picks out these lessons form the book - as I say, basic, but useful:<br />1. Define the Full Potential: Use strategic due diligence to set a target "increased equity value".<br />2. Develop the Blueprint: Develop a plan for achieving that goal.<br />3. Accelerate Performance: Putting the plan into action by matching the blueprint to your company and overcoming obstacles to success.<br />4. Harness the Talent: Hiring
the individuals that can make your company&#39;s blueprint a reality by
either looking inside the company or seeking outside talent.<br />5. Make Equity Sweat: This
is a fundamental aspect of private equity firms managing a company,
relying on "managing working capital aggressively, disciplining capital
expenditures, and working the balance sheet hard."<br />6. Foster a Results-Oriented Mind-Set: Take
the private equity disciplines learned in the book and implement them
permanently into your firm&#39;s culture and periodically reevaluate your
company to ensure it is maintaining the formula for success.</p>]]></description>
<link>http://www.equityfc.com/blog.asp?page_id=&amp;blog_id=1&amp;entry_id=110</link>
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<pubDate>Thu, 13 Nov 2008 16:16:00 +0000</pubDate>
<title>LBO houses struggle, but PE keeps its powder dry</title>
<description><![CDATA[<p>There&#39;s still a lot of money committed to PE funds*. They have a great opportunity to ride out the recession and pick up some sweet assets on the cheap. (Heck, just ask those guys from the Gulf about the great deal they&#39;ve got with Barclays.)<br /><br />But for the big LBO players, there has been pain and misery to endure - albeit fairly quietly. According to <a href="http://dealbreaker.com/2008/11/the-margin-whisper.php" target="_new">Dealbreaker</a>, it&#39;s not just a scarcity of debt for new deals - old debt is causing headaches, too.<br /><br />The blog cites a Deal Journal piece stating: "Debt funds managed by Apollo Management and Blackstone Group&#39;s GSO
Capital Partners recently fended off margin calls from banks as the
prices of debt that they invested in were hammered, according to people
familiar with the matter." Yikes. So buying that debt - which might have looked a good way to circulate your money and boost fees 12 months ago - is now looking iffy. My heart bleeds.<br /><br />Here at EquityFC, we love the PE crowd, of course, but the mid-market players are most secure in our affection. Minimal financial engineering, maximum management transformation - that&#39;s the secret of sustainable value creation. Which is more fun for FCs and FDs too, of course.<br /><br />(*Well, why not? Interest rates are practically zero, public equities are tanking, corporate debt is pretty much all junk now and commodities are plunging. Hell, even if those guys never deploy it and still charge a management fee, at least you&#39;ll get some money back...)</p>]]></description>
<link>http://www.equityfc.com/blog.asp?page_id=&amp;blog_id=1&amp;entry_id=109</link>
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