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The New Normal | 2 September 2009

Blogger Carried Interest has an excellent new post up discussing "the new normal" for the private equity industry. It's well worth a read. If you're joining a management team backed by PE or considering an MBO, it's vital that you have a keen sense of their priorities.

Carried Interest flags up these five new realities that he feels will define the industry for some time to come:

  1. Fewer PE firms.
  2. Tougher fund terms (which means lower fees and less generous carry terms for general partners).
  3. Longer hold periods (although personally I think that's still a function of market buoyancy, not some newfound doctrine of sustainable ownership...).
  4. Much less debt (CI reckons 50/50 debt/equity is a new norm; again, I'm not so sure GPs have fallen conclusively out of love with leverage - but gone are the days of fractional equity...).
  5. Improving GP operating skills. This is actually tied pretty closely with the longer hold periods and lower debt, of course. But it's right that the quality in the industry - GPs who help management teams add operating value - should rise to the top and out-price (or out-risk) the financial engineers.

I think that all adds up to excellent news - if these are, indeed, new norms and not just a relatively short-term industry hair-shirt. It's particularly positive for finance execs. In most respects, the FD (and even the FC) role is becoming more outward-facing and, frankly, interesting. When financial engineering ruled the roost, I got the feeling some PE-backed finance execs felt a bit pressured to be number crunchers. These new realities should help them be more rounded again.

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